⭐ Confluence

⭐ Aligned ⚡ Divergence 🌊 Rotation 🏛 vs Crowd

Where every layer of smart money agrees loading…

The rare stocks where multiple independent signals point the same way at once — the “everything agrees” trades. Each is scored by how many of these 5 layers confirm:

📈 MarketFlow BUY signal  ·  🏛 Institutions accumulating (13F)  ·  👤 Insiders buying (Form 4)  ·  🚨 Activist stake (13D)  ·  🌊 Sector inflows (macro). Higher = rarer = higher conviction. Click any stock for the full breakdown.

📊 Does confluence actually work? 12-year backtest

A point-in-time backtest (2013–2026, 171,500 stock-quarters, PIT-hardened & re-validated 2026-06-12: late filings excluded, amendments deduped) of the 3 layers with deep history — trend (price above its 200-day MA, a proxy for the technical layer) × institutional accumulation (Δ shares) × insider buying. The more agree, the better the forward odds, monotonically. Forward 63-day return vs the market median:

0 layers
−2.0%
46% win-rate
1 layer
+0.1%
50% win-rate
2 layers
+1.5%
54% win-rate
3 layers
+1.6%
56% win-rate

✓ Monotonic   ✓ Mostly beyond momentum (two factor controls: trend + trailing-quarter)   ✓ Losses shown.  

Honest scope ▾ This is a research / screening edge — high-confluence names have materially better forward odds. It is not a trading strategy: traded naively it fails on costs, and the best lower-turnover construction nets only ~+0.8%/yr over the liquid universe (in-sample; the original +1.9%/yr claim fell after fixing a momentum leak in the accumulation layer and PIT-hardening the data — the ranking edge survived both fixes). Validated on proxies of 3 of the 5 layers with 13y of SEC history (the backtest's technical layer is the 200-day-MA trend, not the live MarketFlow signal); the rare 3-layer bucket is small-N (~2.2k) — quote the pattern, not exact levels. Activist (13D) + Sector flows join the proof as their history accrues. Survivorship-limited to liquid names. Research, not advice.

Minimum layers:
Confluence crosses five independent data layers — MarketFlow's technical signal, 13F institutional holdings, SEC Form-4 insiders, Schedule-13D activists, and the cross-asset macro sector flows (the Macro page). A directional research tool, not financial advice.